I owe a very great intellectual debt to andrew marshall in regard. Marshall september, 1921 march 26, 2019 was an american foreign policy strategist who served as director of the united states department of defenses office of net assessment from 1973 to 2015. In particular, it focuses on some of the intellectual foundations for net assessment, key characteristics, and how the style, vision, and ideas of andrew marshall have been and continue to be in. Hq003409d30070019 center for strategic and budgetary assessments. Andrew marshall and the shaping of modern american defense. The biography was written by andrew krepinevich and barry watts. Before then he was an aide to henry kissinger, then the national security adviser to president richard nixon. Center for strategic and budgetary assessments 2002. Andrew marshall foreign policy strategist wikipedia. Like hegel, andy marshall believed that scholarship ought to comprehend the character of a nation. Marshall is a longterm dod veteran who has worked for every secretary of defense since james schlesinger in the 1970s, hetladge said. Marshall and the epistemic community of the cold war received the usaf historical foundations award for best school of advanced air and space studies history thesis of 2012.
Marshall used the term net assessment in a different manner than many military professionals dothat is, as an analysis of the likely. The impact of the office of net assessment on the american. Naval postgraduate school moterey califonia 00 14 a dtic telecte thesis h net assessment. Andrew marshall was founding director of the office of net assessment in the office of the secretary of defense after more than two decades as an economist at the rand corporation. For more than four decades he has served as director of the office of net assessment, the pentagons internal think tank, under twelve defense secretaries and eight administrations. Yet marshall has been on the cutting edge of strategic thinking even longer than that. Net assessment, alternatively, is sometimes defined in terms of the. By 1987, andrew marshall, the pentagons director of net assessment, had concluded that the soviets were correct in their judgment that these new technologies would not merely make current forces marginally better in fighting with existing operational concepts and organizations, but would revolutionize wars. Pentagon think tank chief long focused on psych studies. Andrew marshall and the early development of the intellectual foundations for net assessment. Prepared for the office of net assessment office of the secretary of defense contract no.
Andrew marshall and the shaping of american defense strategy, is an intel. The title of this studyknives, tanks, and missiles. Despite marshalls long shadow over americas defense establishment, there is no serious extant inquiry into his life. Apr 05, 2019 as the indefatigable head of the office of net assessment the pentagons inhouse thinktank marshall could not help himself. Andrew marshall leaves behind an american tradition of strategic thinking that will live well beyond him. Marshall director of net assessment, office of the secretary of defense u. Improved methods for net assessment are desirable a constant monitoring of haw we are doing relative to the soviets would provide an inportant input to decision processes involved in implementing u. Andrew marshall and the shaping of modern american defense strategy, the last formal pentagon net assessment appears to have been done in the. Jim baker, a retired air force colonel, has been tapped to run the pentagons legendary office of net assessment, taking over from andrew w.
The last warrior tells that story, and shows how marshall used the revolutionary concept of net assessment to do it. Abram shulsky was minority staff director for the senate select committee on intelligence before joining the defense department. Whistleblowers confirm marshall s central role in the weaponization of technology in killing machines since 1973. Dec 31, 2007 some will say that this net assessment is an americacentric, chauvinistic evaluation of the united states, making it appear more powerful, more important and more clever than it is. As initially defined by the father of net assessment in the u.
Andrew marshall, pentagon strategist, 19212019 financial times. Andrew krepinevich served in the office of net assessment from 19891993. The militarytechnical revolution a preliminary assessment by andrew f. Marshall, director of the pentagons office of net assessment, rarely publishes his thinking in unclassified forms. In that role, marshall advised secretaries of defense from 1973 to 2015. It was on this notion that the soviets introduced the term reconnaissancestrike complex. Dunnigan recalls the meeting as kicking off a new breed of war games in the u. Marshall led the pentagons office of net assessment for 42 years. Director of the office of net assessment in the department of defense. This research was conducted within the rand center for asia pacific policy, part of international programs at the rand corporation.
The department of defenses office of net assessment ona, the pentagons internal think tank, was created and andrew marshall was named its first director in 1973, and marshall has been reappointed by every administration and secretary of defense since then. In 1997, andrew marshall, the longtime head of the office of net assessment, said the soviets were right in thinking that these capabilities would revolutionize the way war was waged. Andrew marshall and the lasting value of net assessment. Mar 12, 2014 marshall, 92, has led the office of net assessment ona since its creation in 1973. Marshall has been paid by the senior executive services ses within the dod office of net assessment since the inception of the ses on oct. Whistleblowers confirm marshall s central role in the weaponization of.
Andrew marshall foreign policy strategist simple english. Marshall september, 1921 march 26, 2019 was an american foreign policy strategist. Oneill, along with the defense advanced research projects agency darpa directed by anthony j. An examination of the process by anthony daniel konecny december 1988 thesis advisor. Marshall, net assessment is meant to be the second nuclear age the. Andrew marshall and the development of the net assessment framework. Appointed to the position by president richard nixon, marshall. In january 2015, age 94, andrew marshall retired as director of ona, and we are fortunate that.
It stands as a model of broadly based, rigorous, and imaginative analysis to all. He served as director of the united states department of defenses office of net assessment from 1973 to 2015. The practice of net assessment with which marshall. Such assessments should include an analysis of the comparative efficiencies with which. Foreign relations of the united states, 19691976, volume ii, organization and management of u. Marshall, director, dod office of net assessment, senior executive service ses, highlands group. Hq003409d30070009 the views, opinions andor findings contained in this report are those of the author and should not be construed as an official dod position, policy, or decision. Andrew marshall and the shaping of modern american defense strategy kindle edition by krepinevich, andrew f. These 12 defense experts hope to guide the pentagon forward. Demographic trends, policy influences, and economic effects. Nor is it operations research, or strategic planning. Aug 24, 2016 according to the recent book, the last warrior.
Theaters of war the military entertainment complex tim lenoir. He is a disciple of office of net assessment legend andrew marshall, who he immortalized in his book the last warrior. Abstract the paper reexamines our understanding of the role played by andrew marshall in the development of american thinking about the application of information technologies to military systems and concepts of operation that is commonly referred to as the current revolution in military affairs rma. Office of net assessment with the objective of understanding how china and india will compare to one another in 20202025 with regards to demographics, economic growth, science and technology and military spending. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading the last warrior. In october 2014, marshall announced plans to retire in january 2015. The rumblings within the professional wargaming community were one of the causes of the 1977 leesburg conference. Andrew marshall, the pentagons 81yearold futuristinchief, fiddles with his security badge, squints, looks away, smiles, and finally speaks in \\ the marshall plan wired the marshall plan. The revolution in military affairs geopolitical futures. The key, associates say, is to read the writings of his disciples. But in our view, this is not an americacentric analysis. Marshall, as director of the office of net assessment, was the secretive futurist of the pentagon, a longrange thinker who both prodded and inspired secretaries of defense and highlevel. Andrew marshall mentored a series of secretaries of defense, beginning with james schlesinger, in devising strategies for competing successfully with global adversaries.
Mar 26, 2019 the director of the united states department of defenses office of net assessment. The office of net assessment, which is headed by a seldomseen, 92yearold nixonera defense analyst named andrew marshall, is just a tiny compartment in the labyrinthine defense department, but. May 08, 2019 andrew marshall leaves behind an american tradition of strategic thinking that will live well beyond him. Jan 14, 2015 andrew marshall, one of the longestserving u. Marshall, director of net assessment for the department of defense. Net assessment is closely identified with andrew marshall, the founder and still today although he has recently announced he plans to retire director of the office of net assessment in the department of defense. It is comprehensive, including description of the forces, operational doctrines and. Andrew marshall, brain of the pentagon, passed away the. A diagnostic assessment center for strategic and budgetary assessments prepared for osd net assessment april 2011 contract no. Marshall and the epistemic community of the cold war. Effects of forest fires on peat swamp and lowland dipterocarp forests in kalimantan, indonesia. Until he retired in 2015, marshall headed the office of net assessment. Thus, to understand marshall s unique perspective on the process of net assessment, one is best served by studying the evolution of his thought prior to the establishment of ona.
He also understood that the final cause of the world at large is indefinite, ambiguous, incalculable. Schuttes treatment of marshall aims to rectify that situation as it relates to the first half of marshalls life. Andrew walter marshall, a former strategist at the rand corporation who served as head of the pentagons office of net assessment from its founding in 1973 until his retirement in 2015, died on march 26 at the age of 97. Net assessment is the analysis of how many souls a particular weapon selected by the highlands group will kill. Review of the last warrior, on futurist andrew marshall. Evaluating military balances through the lens of net. Andrew marshall was named its first director, a position he continued to hold under succeeding administrations. Marshall, whose contributions to military thought helped to shape net assessment as a discrete analytical approach within the united states department of defense. Appointed to the position by president richard nixon, marshall remained in office during all successive administrations that followed until his retirement on january 2, 2015. The story of this journey, of marshall s growth and maturation as a strategist, is the focus of this biography. Andrew marshall director osd office of net assessment 1920 defense pentagon room 3a932 washington, d. The future of net assessment at the pentagon the diplomat. Marshall and net assessment any meaningful discussion of net assessment must include an examination of strategic thinker and futurist andrew w.
Maritime warfare in a maturing precision strike regime. Is the pentagons andrew marshall the leo strauss of military. Israels security revolutionderives from an oftrepeated metaphor used by former foreign minister shimon peres to describe the threat israel faces following the end of the cold war. In particular, it focuses on some of the intellectual foundations for net assessment, key characteristics, and how the style, vision, and ideas of andrew marshall have been and continue to be influential for performing net assessment. Marshall, the 92yearold futurist who directs the pentagons obliquely named internal think tank, the office of net assessment. Establishing a net assessment function within the mod 1. Marshall, 92, has led the office of net assessment ona since its creation in 1973. Has the work of the office of net assessment ona, and that of its only director, andrew marshall, significantly influenced u. Whistleblowers confirm marshalls central role in the weaponization of technology in killing machines since 1973.
Having spent twentytwo years at rand, andrew marshall was made director of the o. It accompanies a more detailed study published by policy exchange, a question of power. Memorandum from the director of the net assessment group, national security council marshall to the presidents assistant for national security affairs kissinger 1. Jan 02, 2015 andrew marshall was named its first director, a position he continued to hold under succeeding administrations. Describing what net assessment isnt, is a useful thing to do. Andrew walter marshall, a former strategist at the rand corporation who served as head of the pentagons office of net assessment from its. According to peres, israel had traditionally prepared to deal with the. Rather, it is the recognition that the world itself is now, and has been since 1992, americacentric. Are their assessments responsible for derailing cherished service programs such as the crusader. Net assessment is a tool developed for the strategic management of a longterm military. Andrew marshall is among the united states elite defense intellectuals. Until he retired in 2015, marshall headed the office of net assessment, an inhouse. The influential american strategist andrew marshallaffectionately known as yoda within the u. But it isnt helpful for someone who is trying to learn how to apply it to his or her problems.
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